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This was a huge performance by a young horse. We have seen many multiple winners in this discipline over the years and Easysland looks set to be the next.
Concertista is one of those horses who just come alive at Cheltenham. Her first visit there last year was her first start for Willie Mullins after a day break and she was only beaten a short head, this season was a little different and while she had failed to win a hurdle race in Ireland she duly bolted up in the Mares Novice by 12 lengths.
Her obvious target next year is the Mares Hurdle and that will bring stronger competition should the two wonder mares Honeysuckle and Benie Des Dieux turn up.
She is the type that may get beaten in Ireland during the season before returning to Cheltenham and this would not worry me at all. Willie Mullins has won every running of the Mares Novice Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival but all winning runs normally come to an end and, if she stays in once piece, Queens Brook could be the mare to end that run for Gordon Elliott.
Queens Brook bolted up on her debut for Gordon in a mares bumper at Gowran Park before going on to mix it with the very best bumper horses around when finishing a close third in the Champion Bumper at this seasons festival.
She has yet to jump a hurdle in public but she has run in two-point to points, finishing third on debut and winning next time, so her jumping should not be a concern.
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As would a runner who had produced figures of and , providing it is scheduled to race over the smaller obstacles, this time. However, a runner who has recorded career-best RPRs of and in that order would not be considered to be an improver, neither would a horse be considered as a qualifier if it has posted RPRs over hurdles of and and is running in a chase this time.
The only exception to this rule is a runner who has posted consecutive career-best RPRs, which are split by a non-completion due to a fall, unseating of rider, or was brought down, but not a pulled up effort.
However, runners will only be considered to be selections for this strategy if they are both RPR improvers and are top-rated or jointly top-rated based on the adjusted race card RPRs for the race.
This is indicated by the black spot in the Racing Post, on the basis that an RPR improver who is not top rated is still likely to need to find further improvement to win its next race.
I have monitored the Top-rated RPR Improver qualifiers during the 28 day period from 22 October until 18 November, which has produced the following results:.
A full list of the qualifiers and results is provided at the foot of this blog, with winners marked in bold. I don't have the data to confirm whether a better performance would have been achieved at Betfair SP, or by placing the wagers at best early prices with BOG.
However, I suspect that profit and ROI figures can be improved through the use of additional filters.
I have often thought that Postdata information is underused by many punters and that the data may be worth using as a filter for my betting strategies if I could find a method of turning the Postdata ticks into a numeric value to identify the runner who is best suited by the prevailing conditions for the race.
I then multiply the points figure for each separate Postdata box together to provide the final figure for each runner in the race, as follows:.